By Nigel Howard
Confrontaion research (How to win operations except war.); Nigel Howard; CCRP courses; 1999; 302 pages. war of words among army, politicians, rebels, Allied Forces. clash solution and dilemmas in our global this day. contains ancient references.
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Additional resources for Confrontation Analysis: How to Win Operations Other Than War (Ccrp Publication Series)
Yet the air strikes were, by nature, sufficiently reversible that the signal, “We’ll bomb you,” had to be, at a certain point, reinforced by starting to do it or it would not have been credible. The point at which this need for credibility kicked in was partly set by the West’s previous undermining of its own credibility. By contrast, the Cold War nuclear threat, “We’ll take out Moscow,” could not be and was not expected to demonstrate its credibility by being carried out. It was too irreversible.
Within this frame, they have none. As illustrated in figure 2, they therefore proceed next to the Resolution phase. This does not necessarily mean the parties are being honest with each other. A solution according to their proclaimed positions and common reference frame may not be a true solution. One may be deceiving another. Each may be deceiving all the rest. If there is deception, it necessarily consists of each deceiver acting as if it has reached honest, trusting agreement. This is because successful deception requires the deceiving party to behave, not in accordance with the facts it believes to be true, but in accordance with the pseudofacts it wishes to be accepted.
Deception—Conversely, to deceive you into thinking that my threat is merely a warning, my promise a mere notification, I may show lack of 42 Confrontation Analysis emotion. S. commitment by deliberately showing no emotion. ” This is more likely to be effective, the more immediate is the possibility of implementing the threat or promise because we know that emotions often are temporary. For example, your anger is more likely to be effective if your guns are pointing at someone than if it will take 3 weeks to transport them from the United States.
Confrontation Analysis: How to Win Operations Other Than War (Ccrp Publication Series) by Nigel Howard